Rate Lock Advisory

Friday, May 10th

Friday’s bond market has opened in negative territory despite favorable economic news. Stocks are showing early gains of 147 points in the Dow and 47 points in the Nasdaq. The bond market is currently down 9/32 (4.49%), which should bring this morning’s mortgage rates back to nearly unchanged from Thursday’s morning pricing. If you didn’t see an intraday revision yesterday, you should see little change this morning.

9/32


Bonds


30 yr - 4.49%

147


Dow


39,534

47


NASDAQ


16,393

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium


Positive


Treasury Auctions (5,7,10,20,30 year)

Yesterday’s 30-year Treasury Bond auction drew a stronger demand from investors than Wednesday’s 10-year Note sale did. The benchmarks indicated a decent interest in the securities compared to other recent sales. Bonds improved after results were announced at 1:00 PM ET, leading to many lenders issuing an intraday improvement to rates. Unfortunately, this morning’s early selling has erased that improvement.

Medium


Positive


Univ of Mich Consumer Sentiment (Prelim)

This week’s calendar came to a close today with the 10:00 AM ET release of May's preliminary Index of Consumer Sentiment from the University of Michigan. They announced a reading of 67.4 that fell well short of the predicted 76.8 and was a large decline from April’s revised 77.0. The large drop means surveyed consumers were more concerned about their own financial situations than they were last month. This is good news for bonds and mortgage rates because waning confidence usually translates into softer consumer spending numbers that make up such a large part of the U.S. economy. The bad news is that this report doesn’t carry a high level of importance in the markets, preventing it from offsetting the overnight and early morning bond selling.

High


Unknown


Inflation News

Next week has several highly influential economic reports scheduled for release, including two key inflation readings and a closely watched consumer spending report. There are also a large number of Fed speaking events scheduled, one of which is before congress and another includes Fed Chairman Powell. The week starts light with just a couple of speeches and no relevant economic data Monday morning. Look for details on all of next week’s activities in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.


MAE Capital Real Estate and Loan

CA DRE #01913783|NMLS #806170

4940 Pacific Street Suite A
Rocklin, CA 95677